The number of such hands is 4.10, and the probability is 0. IF YOU MEAN TO EXCLUDE ROYAL FLUSHES, SUBTRACT 4 (SEE THE NEXT TYPE OF HAND): the number of hands would then be 4.10-4 = 36, with probability approximately 0. Putting all of this together, we obtain the following ranking of poker hands: Poker Hand Number of Ways to Get This Probability of This Hand Royal Flush 4 0.000154% Straight Flush 36 0.00139% Four of a Kind 624 0.0240% Full House 3,744 0.144% Flush 5,108 0.197% Straight 10,200 0.392% Three of a Kind 54,912 2.11% Two Pairs 123,552 4.75%. You might also get a four of a kind in one of the other 8 ranks besides aces and the four you discarded. So the total ways to get a four of a kind on the deal is 44+8=52. The total number of combinations on the deal is combin(47,4)=178365. So the probability of a four of a kind is 52/178365 = 1 in 3430.
Feb 18, 2010 To make four of a kind we need any one of those 13 four card combinations we mentioned before plus one extra card to make a five card hand. Recall the poker hand is always five cards. After taking out the four cards we want, there are 48 cards left in the deck. Thus there are actually 13. 48 = 624 four of a kind hands. The Terms and Conditions defined in this text (hereinafter referred to as “Terms and probability of four of a kind in poker Conditions”) regulate the usage of the games provided through www.casumo.com, as well as other URLs licensed to or belonging to Casumo probability of four of a kind in poker Services Limited (hereinafter referred to as “Website” or “Websites”). Thus, the total number of four-of-a-kinds is: Full house — The full house comprises a triple (three of a kind) and a pair. The triple can be any one of the thirteen ranks, and consists of three of the four suits. The pair can be any one of the remaining twelve ranks, and consists of two of the four suits.
In poker, the probability of each type of 5-card hand can be computed by calculating the proportion of hands of that type among all possible hands.
The following enumerates the (absolute) frequency of each hand, given all combinations of 5 cards randomly drawn from a full deck of 52 without replacement. Wild cards are not considered. The probability of drawing a given hand is calculated by dividing the number of ways of drawing the hand by the total number of 5-card hands (the sample space, five-card hands). The odds are defined as the ratio (1/p) - 1 : 1, where p is the probability. Note that the cumulative column contains the probability of being dealt that hand or any of the hands ranked higher than it. (The frequencies given are exact; the probabilities and odds are approximate.)
The nCr function on most scientific calculators can be used to calculate hand frequencies; entering nCr with 52 and 5, for example, yields as above.
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Hand | Frequency | Approx. Probability | Approx. Cumulative | Approx. Odds | Mathematical expression of absolute frequency |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Royal flush | 4 | 0.000154% | 0.000154% | 649,739 : 1 | |
Straight flush (excluding royal flush) | 36 | 0.00139% | 0.00154% | 72,192.33 : 1 | |
Four of a kind | 624 | 0.0240% | 0.0256% | 4,164 : 1 | |
Full house | 3,744 | 0.144% | 0.170% | 693.2 : 1 | |
Flush (excluding royal flush and straight flush) | 5,108 | 0.197% | 0.367% | 507.8 : 1 | |
Straight (excluding royal flush and straight flush) | 10,200 | 0.392% | 0.76% | 253.8 : 1 | |
Three of a kind | 54,912 | 2.11% | 2.87% | 46.3 : 1 | |
Two pair | 123,552 | 4.75% | 7.62% | 20.03 : 1 | |
One pair | 1,098,240 | 42.3% | 49.9% | 1.36 : 1 | |
No pair / High card | 1,302,540 | 50.1% | 100% | .995 : 1 | |
Total | 2,598,960 | 100% | 100% | 1 : 1 |
The royal flush is a case of the straight flush. It can be formed 4 ways (one for each suit), giving it a probability of 0.000154% and odds of 649,739 : 1.
When ace-low straights and ace-low straight flushes are not counted, the probabilities of each are reduced: straights and straight flushes each become 9/10 as common as they otherwise would be. The 4 missed straight flushes become flushes and the 1,020 missed straights become no pair.
Note that since suits have no relative value in poker, two hands can be considered identical if one hand can be transformed into the other by swapping suits. For example, the hand 3♣ 7♣ 8♣ Q♠ A♠ is identical to 3♦ 7♦ 8♦ Q♥ A♥ because replacing all of the clubs in the first hand with diamonds and all of the spades with hearts produces the second hand. So eliminating identical hands that ignore relative suit values, there are only 134,459 distinct hands.
The number of distinct poker hands is even smaller. For example, 3♣ 7♣ 8♣ Q♠ A♠ and 3♦ 7♣ 8♦ Q♥ A♥ are not identical hands when just ignoring suit assignments because one hand has three suits, while the other hand has only two—that difference could affect the relative value of each hand when there are more cards to come. However, even though the hands are not identical from that perspective, they still form equivalent poker hands because each hand is an A-Q-8-7-3 high card hand. There are 7,462 distinct poker hands.
of the binomial coefficients and their interpretation as the number of ways of choosing elements from a given set. See also: sample space and event (probability theory).
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